March 17, 2006
The Hands of Time - Episode 1
I was telling Steve how it seems like there are 4 types of blogs people like me (not me, but people like me) create: 1) Seinfeld blogs - you know the ones that ramble on about nothing in particular or relevant, like what I had for breakfast today; 2) Marketing disguised as a blog; 3) Blogs with enough trinkets of information that ramblings like this are tolerated and; 4) Thought provoking blogs.
Steve was very polite and reassured me that my blog fell into category 3. I was telling him that I struggle because I really aspire to be creating a thought provoking blog, but the provoked thoughts might be controversial and misconstrued. Given my position as a representative of Adobe and After Effects this could have unintentional repercussions yadda yadda yadda.
This year is my 20th NAB. The first 2 I worked for Cubicomp, the next 7 I was at Abekas, and the have been with Adobe ever since. As you can imagine or experienced there have been lots of changes over the years. I'm a firm believer that a) history repeats itself, and b) if 'a' is true, then history is a good predictor of the future. Unfortunately, most history takes longer than a human lifetime to repeat, so we can't capitalize easily on knowledge of the past. I don't believe this is the case with NAB. NAB history has repeated itself several times since my first one and I believe it is about to repeat itself again. Hopefully what I'm babbling about will become clearer in this post or a follow-up.
OK here we go. Pop Quiz (BTW I don't know the answer with 100% certainty, but I have an email in to the research staff at NAB):
Q: Besides Japanese camera/VTR manufacturers which video equipment exhibitors had the 10 largest booths at NAB in 1987?
I'm pretty confident that Ampex was in the top 10. And Grass Valley Group (can't remember if they shared a booth with Tektronix or not that year) is probably another safe bet. Rather than speculate right now on the remaining 8 (I have a pretty good idea on at least 3-4 more), Hopefully the good folks at NAB will get reply to my request and I can share my history hypothesis based on facts and not speculation.
Stay tuned for Episode 2...